This will be my last blog until after the election,as we drive back to Florida.It has been an unsatisfyng election experience from the point of view of the one-sidedness of the media-press.They can kill you without reason-it is unfair, but this is America.
Unfair also was the huge money advantage of BHO, and now the NYT says the system should be fixed.Where were they when BHO did a 180 degree turn on public financing? One other area I believe is wrong is early voting-Unless you are out of town,you should hear all the candidates arguments.Things can change in the last few days.
Nevertheless, we are at an end,and the people will have spoken.I am well aware of all the polls,which I read a few times a day.Therefore I go out on a huge limb, knowing that I will be laughed at by many-certainly before Tues,and probably thereafter.
I believe that Obama will win the popular vote by 3-4 percentage points.I base this on a huge black turnout in NYC,Boston,Chicago etc,all Democratic states.
I believe John McCain ,will narrowly win the electoral College and be our next Preident.
Why?
All the polls talk about a 6-12% undecided.Since all the blacks have decided,(reverse racism?) having committed themselves to Obama,this removes them from the mix.I believe that the undecided,are looking at a number of issues
1-Is Obama fit and ready to lead?
2-Does Obama have the national security credentials to be Pres?
3-Does the Obama tax plan smell of Socialism-Marxism and the worst of Liberal dogma?
4-Do the many charges and unknown facts about Obama and his choices of friends,colleagues and religious advisor from his days in law school until he began running for President speak to poor judgement or a proclivity for the radical left?
5-Will the Bradley facter play a role especially in rural America?
6-Will the Evangelical movement be able to surpass their get-out the vote efforts of the last elections,thus being able to overcome the black and supposed youth vote?
7-What percentage of these undecided are concerned about BHO's religious upbringing as a child?
I BELIEVE THAT AS THE RACE NARROWS IN THESE LAST 60 HOURS, THE VAST MAJORITY OF THESE UNDECIDED WILL BREAK FOR McCAIN ,AND MANY WILL NOT MAKE UP THEIR MINDS UNTIL THEY ENTER THE POLLING BOOTH.
